So far so good, the index seems to be ready for a test of key resistance around the 1400 level. In addition, the MACD indicator, which is trending above the zero line, crossed above its signal line today and hence confirms the bull case. Right now the most obvious level to watch is the April 07th high at 1386.74. This, if hurdle and sustained, will trigger all sorts of stops and has the power to fuel a run into the area of November’s low at 1406.10. At this juncture, only a sustain decline below Tuesday’s low at 1324.35 can wreck the short-term bullish outlook. In summary: unless there is a headline that everyone recognizes as bearish, Friday will be a strong up day for the bulls.
18 April 2008
Published on: April 18, 2008
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標普目前走勢不錯，似乎已經準備好向1400點附近的關鍵阻力位作出測試。另外標普的MACD指標在零線上方交叉至信號線之上，這一金叉形態也支持看漲的判斷。目前最應該關注的點位是4月7日高點的阻力，大約1386.74點。如果標普能夠堅定站上這一位置，將觸發各種止損，激發的動能把指數帶向11月低點區域，大約1406.10點。在當前形勢下，指數只有跌破週二低點才能逆轉短期看漲的局面，大約1324.35。總結：除非有大的利空消息出現，週五將是一個鐵定的上漲交易日。
