Swing Trader Bulletin 每日精股推薦
This is Capital Essence’s “Swing-Trader Bulletin” for November 29, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.
Archive for November 28, 2007
Market Commentary-大盤預測 & 趨勢信號
This is Capital Essence’s Market Outlook for November 29, 2007. Subscribers, please click here to login.
QQQQ-Timer 股票與預警服務
This is Capital Essence’s “Cubes Speculator Bulletin” for November 29, 2007. Subscribers, please click here to login.
Future (E-mini) Service 期貨預警服務
This is Capital Essence’s “Trading the Market” Bulletin for November 29, 2007. Subscribers, please click here to login.
技術前瞻：股市處在關鍵轉折點
Editor’s note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence’s CEM News on November 27, 2007. It’s being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.
這是Capital Essence對2007年11月28日 (週三) 的市場技術分析。
週二金融板塊勢頭強勁，金融股指數高漲2.60%，幫助股市強勁反彈。阿布扎比投資局注資75億美元購買花旗集團(C)4.9%股權的消息以及商品價格下降是股市整體樂觀情緒的緣由。能源股昨天備受折磨，受石油輸出國組織增加石油產量的談話影響，原油價格下跌3美元有餘，報收94.42美元，跌幅3.36%。
圖1.1：原油指數(日線圖)
顯然，該指數始於本年度早些時候的上升趨勢可能已經走到了盡頭。從技術面上看，原油指數如果沒能守住90美元附近的支撐位，看跌的雙重頂形態將會形成，從而預計處於80美元附近的先前看漲突破點的支撐位將受到考驗。
和原油指數相似，黃金股也同樣受挫。昨天金價下跌超過10點，報收812.94美元，跌幅1.23%。
圖1.2：黃金指數(日線圖)
圖中黃金指數已經呈現出潛在看跌的雙重頂形態。該指數若跌破773點，看跌的雙重頂形態將會形成，從而預計730/40點水平的關鍵支撐位將受到考驗。
圖1.3：標普500指數(日線圖)
該指數可能已經在8月低點附近找到了些許支撐。這令人振奮。該指數若能上破1447點，將為考驗1465點阻力位打下基礎。1400 – 1360點為該指數的一層支撐位。
圖1.4：道瓊斯工業平均指數(日線圖)
該指數似乎在12800點的關鍵支撐位附近穩定下來。這令人振奮。該指數今天若能走高將為考驗13200點水平的阻力位打下基礎。支撐位約為12720-12500點。
總結：一天的反彈並不能形成牛市，但週二的交易狀況說明股市可能正處於關鍵的轉折點。今天大盤若能走高，這一點將得到確認。
(本文作者：Michelle Mai)
注﹕Michelle Mai為Capital Essence(錢途集團)撰寫技術分析﹐並為包括市場趨勢在內的數份金融市場投資通訊的首席市場策略師。如欲每日盤前收到更多最新分析, 敬請訂閱。
Market could be at major turning point
Editor’s note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence’s CEM News on November 27, 2007. It’s being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.
Good Morning. This is Capital Essence’s “Market Outlook” (the technical analysis of financial markets) for
Stocks showed good resilience Tuesday amid strength in the financial sector that saw the BKX rose +2.60%. Contributed to the overall optimism were news that Abu Dhabi Investment Authority is going to invest $7.5 billion for a 4.9% stake in Citigroup (C) and lower commodities prices. Energy stocks were taking it on the chin today with crude oil dropped more than $3 or -3.36% to $94.42. The decline was largely driven by talk of increased production from OPEC.
Chart 1.1: Oil Index (daily).
Apparently, the upleg that started early this year may have reached the exhaustion point. Technically speaking, a failure to hold support around the 90 level will complete the bearish double top pattern and test of support at previous bullish breakout point around 80 is, therefore, expected.
Similarly, gold stocks also suffered as the yellow metal lost more than 10 points or -1.23% to $812.94.
Chart 1.2: Gold Index (daily).
Gold has printed a potential bearish double top pattern on the chart. A decline below 773 will complete the bearish double top pattern and test of key support around the 730/40 level is, therefore, expected.
Chart 1.3: Standard & Poors 500 Index (daily).
The index may have found some sorts of support at the area of August’s low. This is encouraging. An advance above 1447 will set the stage for a test of resistant around the 1465 level. The index has a layer of support that runs from 1400 to 1360.
Chart 1.4: Dow Jones Industrial (daily).
The blue-chips index seemed to be stabilize around the area of key support at the 12800 level. This is encouraging. An upside follow-through tomorrow will set the stage for a test of resistant around the 13200 level. Support is about 12720-12500.
In summary: one day rally does not make a bull market, general speaking, but Tuesday’s trading action suggested that market could be at major turning point. An upside follow-through tomorrow will confirm this.
(By: Michelle Mai for Capital Essence)
Note: Michelle Mai writes technical analysis for Capital Essence and is the editor of Capital Essence’s “Market Outlook” newsletter. To receive the daily edition, please subscribe. It’s now available at a monthly rate.
