Capital Essence’s Investment Blog- 錢途集團

This is Capital Essence’s “Cubes Speculator Bulletin” for September 26, 2007. Subscribers, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s Market Outlook for September 26, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Swing-Trader Bulletin” for September 26, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Trading the Market” Bulletin for September 26, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

[Capital Essence NewsDesk] Editor’s Note: below are just some trading ideas flow from our latest Headlines.

“Cubes Speculator Bulletin”

September 24, 2007 @ 9:30 PM

• Today trading action is considered bullish given the overbought condition.
• The trend is up and it’d not be wise to fight it.
• There is a high probability for a test of today’s breakdown point at $50.80.
• A move above $50.60 will confirm this.

September 25, 2007 @ 11:30 AM

• As discussed, we’ve initiated a “QQQQ October 50 Call Option (QQQJX)” position as QQQQ broke ABOVE $50.60 this morning.
• The “cubes” is consolidating as I type.
• So far so good. As long as it holds above the morning low, there is a high probability for a retest of yesterday’s high about $51.

As you can see, QQQQ tested the expected $50.80 level followed a bullish breakout above the $50.60 level this morning.  Further, as predicted, after a brief consolidation, the stock broke out nicely in the afternoon [followed our 11:30 alert] and retested the $51 level (yesterday high). The call option booked in a nice +21% for the day.

You see, successful trading is all about the quack count. If the ducks align, we’ll give you a ping in advance so that you’ll have sufficient time to “hit ‘em hard”. When they don’t, we’ll also chime in so that you can take a day off and go play golf. It’s so easy, even a 10 years old kid can do it.

Want more investing ideas? Check out Capital Essence’s Newsletter Services - “best-of-web” technical analysis.

Editor’s note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence’s CEM News on September 24, 2007. It’s being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.

這是Capital Essence對2007年9月25日 (週二) 的市場技術分析。

如前所料，股市週一高開，納斯達克100指數(NDX) 突破並創下數年來的新高。但是，這一高位遭遇了更為猛烈的拋盤的打擊。以科技股為主的NDX收盤時雖然距盤中高點——2072.70.點相差甚多，但還是成功高收，上漲8點，至2057點。

事實上，納斯達克100指數(NDX)昨天的交易狀況和我們之前在“Cubes Speculator Bulletin”文章中的觀點非常一致。我們說過：“突破50.60美元意味著第三個目標——51美元將被考驗” 。果然，昨日上午，納斯達克100指數ETF(QQQQ)在看漲突破50.60美元之後，曾一度攀升至50.96美元。當日任何看漲期權盤中都將獲得約 30%的收益。

來看主要股指：

上面是標普500指數的短期日線圖。值得注意的是，該指數已經形成了小型的三角區。按照教科書上的說法，這種形態通常會在與整體走勢相同的方向中消逝。而當前整體走勢為上揚。因此，如果該指數看漲突破該三角區的上邊界，大盤考驗7月高點——約1555點的可能性將增大。

上面是道指的短期日線圖。在股市消化上週收益的同時，納指也繼續在高點附近的橫向區間打底。技術面而言，這一表現完全正常並且是看漲的信號。短期阻力位約 為13880點。大盤向上突破該水平預示著7月的高點——約14000點將被考驗。短期支撐位約為13739.點。請記住，大盤跌破這一支撐位表明近期看 張突破點的支撐位將受到考驗。

總結：交易者應該注意標普500指數的小型三角區。我們說過，從該三角區上邊界的看漲突破將為大盤考驗7月高點打下基礎。

(本文作者：Michelle Mai)

Note: Michelle Mai writes technical analysis for Capital Essence and is the editor of Capital Essence’s “Market Outlook” newsletter. To receive the daily edition, please subscribe. It’s now available at a monthly rate.