Capital Essence’s Investment Blog- 錢途集團

This is Capital Essence’s Market Outlook for September 25, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Swing-Trader Bulletin” for September 25, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Cubes Speculator Bulletin” for September 25, 2007. Subscribers, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Trading the Market” Bulletin for September 25, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

[Capital Essence NewsDesk] As predicted, stocks opened on a positive note Monday morning with the NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) broke out to a new multi-year high. The high was, however, met by an even more aggressive wave of selling. The tech rich index managed to close in the positive territory, up 8 points to 2057.75, though well below the intraday high of 2072.53.

Editor’s Note: below are just some trading ideas flow from our latest Headlines.

“Cubes Speculator Bulletin”

September 23, 2007 @ 3:30 PM

An advance to above $50.60 indicates a test of the third target about $51.

September 24, 2007 @ 10:30 AM

The “Cubes” is consolidating around the $50.90 level as I type

We’ll take some money off the table.

As you can see, after climbing as high as $50.96 followed a bullish breakout above the expected $50.60 level this morning, QQQQ declined immediately after our intraday alert @ 10:30 am.

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Editor’s note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence’s CEM News on September 23, 2007. It’s being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.

這是Capital Essence對2007年9月24日 (週一) 的市場技術分析。

在上次的 前瞻分析中我們指出：“交易者無需對[週四的]下跌過分擔憂，那只不過是一次強勢上漲後的獲利回吐” 。果然，上週五股市漂亮地高開，直至收盤一直保持漲勢。最終，標普500指數上漲7點，當日漲幅為0.46%，周累計增長2.80%。這當然是不錯的收 益，但和石油以及黃金相比還稍顯不足。石油和黃金指數的周漲幅分別為5.34%和3.42%。

在我們對Gold Bugs以及現貨黃金做出看漲評論之後，不到兩週時間，Gold Bugs以及現貨黃金立即上漲了約12%。技術面而言，上週的看漲突破應該有能力將金價推至450美元的位置。

圖中可以看出，自我們在文章中將石油服務類指數定為潛在買進對像後，該指數在4周內的累計漲幅已超過12%。技術面而言，上週的看漲突破應該有能力將該指數送至300美元水平。

來看主要股指：

上面是標普500指數的中期周線圖。顯然，繼上週的看漲突破後，該指數正向考驗7月高點阻力位的方向挺進。此次考驗至關重要，因為一旦考驗失敗，“看跌的雙重頂”將形成。目前支撐位約為1440點，阻力位為7月高點——約1555點。

上面是道指的中期周線圖。和標普500指數類似，繼上週的看漲突破之後，該指數也正向考驗7月高點阻力位的方向挺進。我們說過，鑒於7、8月份的下滑幅度，考驗一旦失敗，多頭的壓力將比從前更大一些。目前支撐位約為13000點。阻力位為7月高點——約14000點。

上面是納指的中期周線圖。和其他兩大股指類似，以科技股為主的納指也同樣向考驗7月高點阻力位的方向挺進。值得注意的是，8月16日至今上漲時的成 交量略低於7、8月份拋賣時的成交量。這並不大令人鼓舞。但是，只要股價沒有跌破8月低點的支撐位——約2386點，多頭仍將佔據上風。目前阻力位為 7月高點——約2724點。

總結：總體來說，繼上週看漲突破之後，新的多頭上漲已經開始。從前，十月份並非有利於多頭市場的月份。但是，股價要漲，我們就要對此表示尊重。因此，只要股市能夠守住上週的看漲突破點，多頭仍將處於支配地位。

(本文作者：Michelle Mai)

Note: Michelle Mai writes technical analysis for Capital Essence and is the editor of Capital Essence’s “Market Outlook” newsletter. To receive the daily edition, please subscribe. It’s now available at a monthly rate.