Capital Essence’s Investment Blog- 錢途集團

This is Capital Essence’s “Cubes Speculator Bulletin” for September 19, 2007. Subscribers, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s Market Outlook for September 19, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Swing-Trader Bulletin” for September 19, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

This is Capital Essence’s “Trading the Market” Bulletin for September 19, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

[Capital Essence NewsDesk] as we’ve offered in our September 17 Market Outlook “a 50 basis point cut is likely to encourage a fresh round of buying” stocks rose sharply Tuesday afternoon with the Dow gained about 300 points immediately followed the Federal Reserve’s announcement to cut the fed funds rate by a half-point, around 2:15 pm ET.

Editor’s Note: below are just some trading ideas flow from our latest Headlines.

“Cubes Speculator Bulletin”

September 12, 2007 @ 08:09 PM

Signal: Buy.

September 13, 2007 @ 10:30 PM

Price follow-through to the upside today so yesterday’s [September 12] buy signal must be a beginning of the third buying wave - started from August 16’s low.

September 17, 2007 @ 08:30 PM

Recent decline [over the past 3 sessions] is simply a “rally” in the making.

As a matter of fact, the NASDAQ-100 ETF (QQQQ) rose sharply today, up $1.25 or +2.56% for the day (see chart below).

You see, successful trading is all about the quack count. If the ducks align, we’ll give you a ping in advance so that you’ll have sufficient time to “hit ‘em hard”. When they don’t, we’ll also chime in so that you can take a day off and go play golf. It’s so easy, even a 10 years old kid can do it.

Want more investing ideas? Check out Capital Essence’s Newsletter Services - “best-of-web” technical analysis.

Editor’s note: this column was originally published on Capital Essence’s CEM News on September 17, 2007. It’s being republished as a bonus for the loyal readers. For more information about subscribing to CEM News, please click here.

這是Capital Essence對2007年9月18日 (週二) 的市場技術分析。

如前所料，儘管在今天的聯儲會議前夕，股市略微有些低迷，但週一大盤還是在橫向區間徘徊。沒錯，這是暴風雨來臨前的平靜。

來看主要股指：

上面是標普500指數的短期日線圖。該指數正穿越長達一個月的三角區的上邊界。如果判斷沒有錯誤，該三角區意味著不確定性，而這種不確定性“可能” 決定大盤的整體走勢。當前，這一走勢是下行的。因此，該指數如果跌破這一三角區的下邊界，八月低點將被重新考驗。相反，如果該指數能突破這個三角區的上邊 界，看漲的基調將被確定，而大盤重新考驗7月高點的可能性也將增大。

上面是道指的短期日線圖。該指數正在八月末的高點——約13500點的阻力位的下方盤整。技術面而言，突破這一盤整期，看漲的基調將被確定，而一旦 跌破該區間，本月餘下時間的基調將為看跌。因此，該指數向13500點的邁進預示著八月早期高點——約13650點將被考驗。同時，如果大盤跌破 13360點，該指數200日均線的支撐位——約12950點將被重新考驗。

總結：今天的聯儲會議之後，股市的基本面，不論好壞，都很有可能發生改變。但這已超出本通訊所討論的範疇。當前，投資者所要明確的只有一點：降息25個基點將觸發短期的拋賣；降息50個基點將激起新一輪的買進熱潮。

(本文作者：Michelle Mai)

Note: Michelle Mai writes technical analysis for Capital Essence and is the editor of Capital Essence’s “Market Outlook” newsletter. To receive the daily edition, please subscribe. It’s now available at a monthly rate.