Archive for August 7, 2007

Daily Market Outlook 大盤預測 & 趨勢信號

This is the Market Outlook for August 08, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

 

 

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Swing Trader Bulletin 每日精股推薦

This is the daily Stock Picks for August 08, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

 

 

 

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QQQQ - Timer 預警服務

This is Capital Essence’s “Cubes Speculator” Bulletin for August 08, 2007.  Subscriber, please click here to login.

 

 

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Swing-Trader Bulletin Portfolio Update

Despite the overall volatility, the Swing-Trader Bulletin continues to do well with an amazing unrealized gain about 13% on Advent Software Inc (ADVS) – the stock jumped more than 5% to another new high today. Cepheid (CPHD) rose 58 cents or almost 4% to $15.56. Research in Motion Ltd (RIMM) up about 4 points to $222.22. Accuray Inc (ARAY) added on to previous gain, up 1.61% to finish at $20.18. Starbucks Corp (SBUX) up 0.86% to $27.12 – it worth notice that SBUX had formed a bullish continuation pattern on the daily chart.

In addition, the short positions are also doing extremely well with Gardner Denver Inc (GDI) down more than 2% to $39.66…

 

Editor’s Note: This is a small sample of the content available on the Swing-Trader Bulletin. To receive the daily edition every evening before market opens, please subscribe. It’s now available at a monthly rate.

 

 

 

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Future (E-mini) Service 期貨預警服務

This is Capital Essence’s “Trading the Market” Bulletin for August 08, 2007. Subscriber, please click here to login.

 

 

 

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技術前瞻:當心空頭在標普1490點現身

Editor’s Note: this is the free edition of the Market Outlook. To receive the daily edition everyday before market open, please subscribe. It’s now available at a monthly rate.

 

這是Capital Essence對2007年8月7日 (週二) 的市場技術分析。


我們在昨天的前瞻分析中說過:“股市出現嚴重的超賣現象。因此,我們預計股價在繼續走低之前,會橫盤整理一段時間,甚至會出現一次小幅反彈。” 果然,週一股市出現回彈,標普500指數的10個板塊均明顯高收。

此次具有看漲意義反彈應歸功於金融股的牛勢回轉。

SMR_bkx_20070806

從上圖可以看出,銀行股指數(BKX)週一出現了近5年來最漂亮的反轉,暴漲了5%以上,從而也確認了我們“超賣回彈”的觀點。當前,阻力位約在109-112點,支撐位約為101點。

SMR_xoil_20070806

值得注意的是週一原油價格大跌4.5%,至每桶72.06美元,收於當天交易日低點附近。技術面而言,油價的長期走勢仍然看漲,此次下滑可以視為另一次買進機會。目前油價的短期支撐位約為68美元,阻力位約為78.70美元。

來看主要股指

SMR_spx_20070806

上面是標普500指數的短期日線圖。不出所料,該指數週一出現了一次具有緩解超賣壓力意義的漂亮反彈。顯然,現在每個人腦子裡都會提出一個問題: “此次反彈的幅度會有多大?”對此,我們所能說的是:密切關注1490點,以防空頭現身。目前短期支撐位約為1427點,短期阻力位約為1490點。

SMR_dja_20070806

上面是道指的短期日線圖。和標普500指數類似,該指數週一同樣出現一次亮麗的反彈,之後再次下探由上週三低點形成的支撐位(約為13150 點)。技術面而言,除非該指數成功突破50日均線阻力位,後市仍然默認空頭佔據上風。目前短期支撐位約為13150點,短期阻力位約為13560點。

總結:除非所有人都將此次反彈視為極端的看漲信號,該反彈可能會在標普500指數1490點位置附近失去上漲動力。


 

 

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